S. Hope and G. J. Hunter.
Testing the Effects of Positional Uncertainty on Spatial Decision-Making.
In International Journal of Geographical Information Science, vol. 21, no. 6, pp. 645--665, 2007.


Links:

Abstract:

There is now increasing agreement that the uncertainty associated with spatial information should be represented to users in a manner that is comprehensive and unambiguous. To assist with this task, researchers have developed a variety of methods to portray spatial uncertainty. While there has been some testing of the effectiveness of these displays, the possible effects of such representations on decisionmaking have not yet been thoroughly investigated. Indeed, studies from the psychological literature indicate that people do not always make the same decisions when presented with the same information, and they can also be sensitive to the effects of presentation, task, and context. This paper examines how the use of four different methods to represent positional uncertainty can affect spatial decisionmaking. The authors found that extremely significant differences in participants' responses were exhibited, depending on the manner in which positional uncertainty was displayed, although little difference was observed in the ability of the participants to comprehend the four display methods. In addition, strong preferences were recorded for certain representations over others.

Bibtex:

@Article{        hope:2007:TEPU,
  author = 	 {S. Hope and G. J. Hunter},
  title = 	 {Testing the Effects of Positional Uncertainty on Spatial Decision-Making},
  journal = 	 {International Journal of Geographical Information Science},
  year = 	 {2007},
  volume = 	 {21},
  number = 	 {6},
  pages = 	 {645--665},
}

Images:

References:

KRYGIER, J.B., 1994, Sound and geographic visualization. In Visualization in Modern Cartography, A.M. MacEachren and D.R.F. Taylor (Eds), pp. 149-166 (New York:Pergamon).
LICHTENSTEIN, S. and SLOVIC, P., 1971, Reversals of preferences between bids and choices in gambling decisions. Journal of Experimental Psychology, 89, pp. 46-55.
MACEACHREN, A.M., 1992, Visualizing uncertain information. Cartographic Perspective, 13, pp. 10-19.
MACEACHREN, A.M., BREWER, C.A. and PICKLE, L.W., 1998, Visualizing georeferenced data: representing reliability of health statistics. Environment and Planning A, 30, pp.1547-1561.
MACEACHREN, A.M. and KRAAK, M.-J., 2001, Research challenges in geovisualisation.Cartography and Geographic information Science, 28, pp. 3-12.
PEBESMA, E.J., KARSSENBERG, D. and DE JONG, K., 2006, Dynamic visualisation of spatial and spatio-temporal probability density functions. In Proceedings of Accuracy 2006, 7th International Symposium on Spatial Accuracy Assessment in Natural Resources and Environmental Sciences, M. Caetano and M. Painho (Eds). 5-7 July 2006, Lisbon.
SLOVIC, P., MONAHAN, J. and MACGREGOR, D.G., 2000, Violence risk assessment and risk communication: The effects of using actual cases, providing instruction, and employing probability versus frequency formats. Law and Human Behavior, 24, pp.271-296.
STONE, D.N. and SCHKADE, D.A., 1991, Numeric and linguistic information representation in multi-attribute choice. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 49, pp.42-59.
TVERSKY, A. and KAHNEMAN, D., 1981, The framing of decisions and the psychology of choice. Science, 211, pp. 453-458.
TVERSKY, A. and KAHNEMAN, D., 1991, Loss aversion in riskless choice: A referencedependent model. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 106, pp. 1039-1062.AERTS, J.C.J.H., CLARKE, K.C. and KEUPER, A.D., 2003, Testing popular visualization techniques for representing model uncertainty. Cartography and Geographic Information Science, 30, pp. 249-262.
BEARD, M.K., BUTTENFIELD, B.P., and CLAPHAM, S.B. (Eds), 1991, Initiative 7 Specialist Meeting: Visualization of Spatial Data Quality, Technical Report 91-26, National Centre for Geographic Information and Analysis (NCGIA), University of California,Santa Barbara.
BUTTENFIELD, B.P., 1993, Representing data quality. Cartographica, 30, pp. 1-7.
CARTWRIGHT, W.E. and HUNTER, G.J., 2001, Towards a methodology for the evaluation of multimedia geographic information products. GeoInformatica, 5, pp. 291-315.
CHRISMAN, N.R., 1984, The role of quality information in the long term functioning of a GIS. Cartographica, 21, pp. 79-87.
DEVILLERS, R., BEDARD, Y. and JEANSOULIN, R., 2005, Multidimensional management of geospatial data quality information for its dynamic use within GIS. Photogrammetric Engineering and Remote Sensing, 71, pp. 205-215.
EVANS, B.J., 1997, Dynamic display of spatial data-reliability: Does it benefit the map user? Computers & Geosciences, 23, pp. 409-422.
FISHER, P., 1993, Visualizing uncertainty in soil maps by animation. Cartographica, 30, pp. 20-27.
FISHER, P., 1994, Hearing the reliability in classified remotely sensed images. Cartography and Geographical Information Systems, 21, pp. 31-36.
FRANK, A., 1998, Metamodels for data quality description. In Data Quality in Geographic Information: From Error to Uncertainty, M.F. Goodchild and R. Jeansoulin (Eds), pp.15-29 (Paris: Editions Hermes).
FRASER, R., COLLIER, P.A. and LEAHY, F.J., 2003, Positioning maritime boundaries with certainty-a rigorous approach. In Proceedings of the International Conference on Addressing Difficult Issues in UNCLOS, International Hydrographic Bureau:Monaco.
GORDON, M.E., SLADE, L.A. and SCHMITT, N., 1986, The 'science of the sophomore' revisited: From conjecture to empiricism. Academy of Management Review, 11, pp.191-207.
GREENBERG, J., 1987, The college sophomore as guinea pig: Setting the record straight. Academy of Management Review, 12, pp. 157-159.
HOPE, S.J., 2005, Decision-making under spatial uncertainty. Research Masters thesis, The University of Melbourne, Department of Geomatics. Available online at: http://eprints.unimelb.edu.au/archive/00001041/ (accessed 1 October 2006).
JARVENPAA, S.L., 1989, The effect of task demands and graphical format on information processing strategies. Management Science, 35, pp. 285-303.
KARDOS, J., BENWELL, G.L. and MOORE, A., 2004, Assessing different approaches to visualising spatial and attribute uncertainty in socioeconomic data using the hexagonal or rhombus (HoR) quadtree. In Proceedings of GIS Research UK 2004, A. Lovett, (Ed). University of East Anglia, Norwich, pp. 341-346.
KARDOS, J.D., MOORE, A. and BENWELL, G.L., 2003, Visualising uncertainty in spatially referenced attribute data using hierarchial spatial data structures. In Proceedings of the 7th International Conference on GeoComputation, University of Southampton. CD-ROM produced by D. Martin (Southampton: GeoComputation CD-ROM).
KARELITZ, T.M. and BUDESCU, D.V., 2004, You say 'probable' and I say 'likely': Improving interpersonal communication with verbal probability phrases. Journal of Experimental Psychology-Applied, 10, pp. 25-41.